So, how are your sales looking for next year? It’s not just a question for your sales team—it’s something that will be helpful to you, as a business owner. Sales forecasting is the process of estimating your future sales, and doing it well can help you manage your business’s finances more effectively.
Why Sales Forecasting is Important
Sales forecasting helps you estimate how much money your business will make in a certain period, based on both data and input from your team. The better you forecast, the more control you have over your business’s financial health.
A good sales forecast helps you set realistic goals, plan your budget, and allocate resources. It can even help you spot potential problems before they become big issues.
Quantitative vs. Qualitative Forecasting
There are two main ways to forecast sales: quantitative (using numbers) and qualitative (using opinions and insights).
Quantitative Forecasting
This method relies on hard data, like your past sales numbers. You might look at sales from previous years, broken down by month, product, or location. Other metrics, like how well your marketing campaigns performed or how much inventory you have, also play a role.
In addition, you can use broader data like economic trends, industry performance, and consumer behavior to make your forecast more accurate.
Qualitative Forecasting
This method is less about numbers and more about the opinions of key people in your business, like your leadership, sales, and marketing teams. You can also gather feedback from customers through surveys or focus groups.
Many businesses use a combination of both methods to create the most accurate forecast.
Best Practices for Sales Forecasting
While every business is different, there are a few best practices that can help anyone who’s forecasting sales.
- Define the Time Frame Most businesses forecast sales on a monthly or quarterly basis. If you’re just starting out, you might only need to forecast yearly, but as your business grows, more frequent forecasts will help you stay on track.
- Be Consistent with Data For accurate forecasts, you need to track the same types of data over time. Whether you’re using historical sales numbers or feedback from your team, consistency is key.
- Pick the Right Method There are different ways to analyze your data. For example, trend analysis helps if you have enough data to spot patterns. Regression analysis can help you understand the relationship between different factors, like how much you spend on marketing and how it affects sales.
- Leverage Technology You might already have software that can help with sales forecasting. Many customer relationship management (CRM) tools include reporting features that can generate forecasts. Or, there are specific sales forecasting tools out there to consider. Artificial intelligence is also making these tools more powerful.
Keep Improving Your Process
If you’re already forecasting sales, that’s great! But keep in mind that your process will need to improve over time. As your business grows and changes, so should your forecasting. Continuously refine your approach to make sure it stays accurate and useful.
We’re here to help you answer questions—whether you’re just starting out or looking to take it to the next level. Your local Padgett office is ready to help!